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Journal of Transport and Supply Chain Management
versión On-line ISSN 2310-8789
versión impresa ISSN 1995-5235
Resumen
VERMOOTEN, Joachim. Impact of Omicron COVID-19 restrictions on air transport and tourism to and from South Africa. JTSCM [online]. 2023, vol.17, pp.1-15. ISSN 2310-8789. http://dx.doi.org/10.4102/jtscm.v17i0.881.
BACKGROUND: The governments of important tourist source markets imposed additional travel restrictions (the Omicron restrictions) to South Africa (and neighbouring states) as a result of the identification of the Omicron variant of COVID-19 in South Africa. These restrictions interrupted and paused the recovery in international and regional passenger traffic to and from South Africa and its neighbouring states. OBJECTIVES: To determine the impact of Omicron-related air travel restrictions on passenger demand, the number of flights operated (supply of services), average passenger loads carried and salient tourism indicators. METHOD: The study identifies the monthly number of passengers and flights operated before and immediately following the imposition and lifting of Omicron-related travel restrictions. The counterfactual, to determine the traffic and tourism recovery would have been had these restrictions not been imposed is made by interpolation. RESULTS: Significant decreases in the annual number of passengers carried, flights operated and the average loads of passengers were identified within two geographic areas, international and regional traffic, on over-border flights affected by Omicron restrictions and the impact on tourism and employment. CONCLUSION: The Omicron restrictions interrupted the recovery trend that started to emerge and caused a decline in passenger and tourism flows, tourism spending and employment. CONTRIBUTION: The study determines the impact of the Omicron restrictions on South Africa to prevent rapid government overreaction where the causation of contagion is not objectively demonstrated.
Palabras clave : COVID-19; Omicron; restrictions; regulations; air travel; air transport; tourism; passengers carried; flights operated; passenger load; recovery.
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